On Variance

Something every poker player has to learn is to cope with variance. At times, variance can be your best friend, but at other times it can be your villain that not only kicks you in the crotch, but then slams you with a baseball bat to the head while you're down. An example of the variance I had to deal with.Case in point, my latest downswing. I had thought I had made a successful leap to $200nl. After all, I was up a couple grand and was feeling pretty good about how I was doing. Some of that was undoubtedly positive variance, but I figured I could sustain some bad luck.

Little did I know that the fates had it in for me and my bankroll plummetted over the course of just a few days. That's what provoked my previous post about taking an extended break.

I played a short session at 100nl today. I had some free time and thought I'd take a shot and see how I did. This session went a whole lot better, and despite running QQ into KK preflop for a stack, I won two stacks (the small blip at the right edge of the graph above). I don't know how much time I'll have to play over the next two weeks what with the wedding and all, but I'm gonna take it pretty easy still. There's lots of other things to do. Still, it's good to be able to get a nice winning session in after getting my ass handed to me the last time I played.

Heraldk